The Gilmo Report

August 16, 2017

August 16, 2017
The market seemed to be anticipating the softening of war-rhetoric emanating from North Korea by pulling a big futures led jack to the upside on Monday morning. As I wrote over the weekend, because of the NoKo news selling alibi, the market was susceptible to precisely this type of sudden upside relief rally. This sent the NASDAQ Composite and S&P 500 Indexes... [more]
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August 13, 2017

August 13, 2017
The NASDAQ Composite Index blew through its 50-day moving average on Thursday on heavy selling volume to cap off a three-day decline that began on Tuesday. That’s when President Trump uttered his now famous “fire and fury” threat to North Korea’s belligerent and bellicose leader. Thursday’s sell-off was attributed to additional comments by the President that day when... [more]

August 9, 2017

August 9, 2017
I suppose I could say that my caution as expressed in recent reports was finally rewarded yesterday as the market reversed to the downside, quashing the Dow Jones Industrial Index’s attempt to post twelve straight up days. The break occurred after President Trump uttered a stern, if not an outright saber-rattling, warning to North Korea, promising, “fire and fury” and a veritable... [more]

August 6, 2017

August 6, 2017
Earnings roulette season is in full swing, and has come with its share of big winners and equally big losers. On Friday, we saw the #1 stock in the #1 stock group, Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) blow up in spectacular fashion with a 30% gap-down move. After posting a 50% or so rally over the prior month as it briefly flirted... [more]

August 2, 2017

August 2, 2017
Your first clue that things aren’t exactly right is the failure of leading names to hold constructive pullbacks to logical areas of support. Since we seek to buy stocks on such pullbacks and then keep risk to a bare minimum by then using that same area or line of support as our selling guide, these failures to hold support will quickly and naturally force us out of any new positions we take. This... [more]

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