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Distilled down to its essence, investing is still mostly about making educated guesses. When operating in a market that exists well beyond the boundaries of historical norms, a lot of what you think you know about the way markets act or work goes right out the window. This effectively erases educated from the phrase educated guess and transforms the process into one of mostly just... Read More

The S&P 500 Index sold off six days from last Tuesday’s new-high peaks to again test its 50-day moving average in the middle of the month just as it has over the prior four months and just before the monthly options expiration each time. Every time the index has tested the 50-day line it has found support, as it did today on a slight increase in volume, and then bounced back... Read More

Special Announcement: Going forward, The Marder Report will be available twice weekly, on Wednesdays and Sundays by 6 p.m. PT, by subscription at www.marderreport.com . This service has been priced to be affordable for just about everyone, at about $41 per month with the quarterly discount. There will also be a premium version that includes: A... Read More

The big picture is a market rotating away from small-cap/mid-cap/growth and into large-cap/S&P 500/blue-chip stocks. The clearest signs of this divergence can be found in charts of the cumulative NYSE advance-decline line and the % of NYSE stocks above their 50- and 200-day moving averages. This rotation into lower-risk names is classic late-cycle behavior. It has been discussed numerous... Read More

Stocks remain in good shape, bolstered by strong earnings growth and still-low interest rates. The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 are just days off their all-time highs, while the advance’s breadth is solid. Leadership in the growth sector has been notable, with a few liquid glamours leading the way along with numerous more-speculative issues, including Tilray (TLRY), Bandwidth... Read More

Stock averages continue to hold their own as proceedings move through a normally slower season of vacations. While volume left a little something to be desired on the S&P 500’s latest move to a new high, turnover on the Nasdaq made up for that. ... Read More

The averages make progress as they put their brief June swoon behind them. Volume remains less than desired, especially at the level of the averages. For example, activity has actually diminished on all four S&P rallies since the Apr. 2 low. ... Read More